Modesto compared with all land on Earth
The area around Modesto scores 38 of 100 today: lower combined natural hazard than 38% of the land on Earth.
Ten pillars (0–100)
- Heat30temperature
- Flood32rivers
- Wind57storms
- Earthquake6quakes
- Wildfire20fires
- Climate velocity64warming
- Air63pollution
- Water43scarcity
- Coast—sea-rise
- Ground65landslides
SSP5-8.5 2085 stress test
Under the SSP5-8.5 stress test for 2085, the combined score is 36 of 100.
This cell's combined hazard score is 37.7; its strongest pillar is ground at 65.3 and its weakest is earthquake at 6.1. Flood. Flood pillar 32.0, safer than 16% of land cells and level with 32%; modelled hundred-year river flood depth 11.3 m. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods (vintage: WRI Aqueduct Floods v2 (historical baseline, 100-year RP)); ERA5 (vintage: ERA5 reanalysis 1991-2020). Tornado. Wind pillar 57.1, safer than 31% of land cells and level with 52%; tornado touchdowns nearby 3.1 touchdowns/decade. Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (vintage: 1950-2024). Hurricane. Wind pillar 57.1, safer than 31% of land cells and level with 52%; tropical storm passes nearby 0 storms/decade. Source: IBTrACS (vintage: v04r01). Earthquake. Earthquake pillar 6.1, safer than 6% of land cells and level with 1%; large earthquakes nearby since the start of the century before last 1.6 events/century. Source: USGS ComCat (vintage: ComCat M≥6.5 1900–2025, M≥5 1973–2025); USGS Slab2 (vintage: Slab2, March 2018). Ground. Ground pillar 65.3, safer than 42% of land cells and level with 47%; landslide susceptibility class 1.0 class (1–5). Source: NASA landslide susceptibility (vintage: 2023 update); NOAA NCEI volcanoes (vintage: NCEI HazEL, accessed 2026). Coverage: No coast data exists for this cell, so it is left out of the combined score and the remaining pillar weights are renormalized. This is a statistical summary of public hazard data, a research estimate, not advice about any property or decision.
Terra scores ~10 km hexagonal cells from public global datasets — it is area analysis, not a property assessment. Tornado history covers the United States only; flood hazard is modeled at ~1 km and ignores local defenses; hurricane records before 1966 and wildfire records before 2001 are incomplete. Where data is missing or coarse for your area, Terra says so instead of guessing.